Rininta NurrachmiNyange, Asia Khamis2025-08-222025-08-222025-08-012025-08-15https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14576/575Cloves are not only a treasured cash crop in Zanzibar; they are an economic life-preserver, keeping export incomes and rural prosperity in place. The production of cloves, once a booming part of the export economy of the archipelago, has continued to shrink, raising serious questions about its root causes. In response to this call, this work explores how climatic factors as well as economic factors shape clove production in Zanzibar. Using secondary time series data from 1980 to 2024, sourced from the office of the chief government statistician Zanzibar, FAO and NOOA, this research used EViews software as a tool for data analysis, while R and STATA were used for graphical presentations. In addition, the analytical approach used descriptive statistics, as well as a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to reflect any immediate and long-term impacts. In the short-term analysis, result shows that Zanzibar clove production is primarily influenced by temperature (lag 1), producer price (lag 1), Precipitation (lag 2) and Ocean Nino Index (lag 1). However, several factors such as Producer Price (lag two), Temperature (lag two), Precipitation (lag two), Ocean Nino Index (lag two), Exchange Rate (lag one and two) and Clove export (lag one and lag two) do not have a statistically significant impact. Moreover, in the long run analysis, the study finds that Zanzibar’s clove production is significantly determined by most of the factors included in the model which are temperature, Ocean Nino Index, Exchange Rate and clove export. In contrast, the study finds that precipitation and producer price do not have a significant impact on clove production in long run. Overall, the study concludes that clove production in Zanzibar main determined by temperature, Ocean Nino Index, producer price, Exchange Rate, clove export and precipitation. Based on these findings, this paper proposes a climate adaptation plan on clove sector in Zanzibar. These are the establishment of drought tolerant cloves varieties, reinforced agro-extension programs, integrated agroforestry with the use of shade and nitrogen fixing trees like Gliricidia sepium and Albizia lebbeck.enAll Rights ReservedZanzibarClove productionClimatic factorsVECMThesisNIM03212320007